Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 12.430558 14.222507 16.194171 18.526553 21.213050 24.213666 27.823876
2025-11-16 9.815876 12.099740 14.813587 18.283688 22.614257 27.855187 34.701653
2025-11-23 8.211870 10.668758 13.751439 17.917704 23.424319 30.484990 40.276142
2025-11-30 7.502940 10.182721 13.700860 18.681285 25.589449 34.890126 48.458176
2025-12-07 6.798814 9.579723 13.375752 18.969304 27.059683 38.424910 55.756901
2025-12-14 6.134525 8.935357 12.892975 18.936312 28.010140 41.251466 62.266606
2025-12-21 5.545938 8.324101 12.374454 18.763081 28.687766 43.683646 68.371214
2025-12-28 5.264281 8.129540 12.432928 19.433584 30.669035 48.221361 78.153894
2026-01-04 4.969951 7.880246 12.373565 19.896425 32.342588 52.403022 87.763668
2026-01-11 4.751993 7.725601 12.438563 20.548193 34.360157 57.297291 99.033988
2026-01-18 4.328285 7.196599 11.850989 20.059860 34.412035 58.899830 104.762273
2026-01-25 3.986176 6.771376 11.393719 19.740964 34.706741 60.914611 111.383568
2026-02-01 3.686795 6.397610 10.998295 19.504433 35.143102 63.252176 118.915944
2026-02-08 3.412686 6.044140 10.607106 19.236901 35.491993 65.453927 126.415092
2026-02-15 3.148772 5.685686 10.175266 18.851195 35.574661 67.149570 133.078595
2026-02-22 3.083106 5.680540 10.375990 19.656516 37.983186 73.469129 149.613108
2026-03-01 2.952110 5.542412 10.318793 19.960304 39.436101 78.051084 163.064138
2026-03-08 2.788088 5.327953 10.099720 19.925505 40.203573 81.322302 174.083410
2026-03-15 2.619922 5.091918 9.819901 19.742790 40.646629 83.958828 183.991697
2026-03-22 2.567272 5.078513 9.972190 20.450027 43.004687 90.810431 203.992213
2026-03-29 2.492680 5.014827 10.018355 20.938262 44.936440 96.923788 222.979833
2026-04-05 2.442443 4.996545 10.154029 21.625836 47.361905 104.340058 245.833642
2026-04-12 2.277259 4.726865 9.750272 21.110670 47.060120 105.615393 254.102195